USD/INR – 10 March 2016

The long-term uptrend is under serious pressure. The recent sell off and ensuing bounce has left a new lower peak well below the MA200. This, together with the ‘death cross’ of the MA200-50 suggests a major trend reversal is getting underway. Note the bearish developments of the USD versus most other crosses (except the feeble EUR). Overall, chances of a break below 66.85 are big and thus warrant a new short-entry strategy once taken out.

This outlook remains valid as long as 68.28 holds as new key resistance.

  • Current trend: moderately positive (late phase)
  • Outlook/expectations: trend breach, major trend reversal
  • Strategy: enter-short < 66.85
  • Support: 66.85 / 65.75 / 64.55-
  • Resistance: 67.60 / 68.28 / 68.92

Weekly chart USD/INR (spot)

usdinr_10mar2016

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